Range prediction for efficient electric last mile solutions

Improve battery range prediction with online mass estimation

News on electric vehicles for inner city delivery

In order to improve air quality and to accelerate the switch to zero-emission electric vehicles, more and more municipalities in Europe gradually ban vehicles with polluting combustion engines, allowing only modern low-emission or electric vehicles to drive in inner-city areas. Among these places are capitals like Amsterdam, Paris, London, Rome, Brussels, but also other large cities like Stuttgart, Manchester, Lyon, Milan, to name just some of them. Altogether, there are already over 250 so-called low-emission zones in Europe.

In Paris for instance, there will be a total ban on diesels as early as 2024. As well, Amsterdam for example will follow with a ban on both diesel and gasoline vehicles from 2030. As the average age of light trucks on the road in EU is currently more than 11 years, this means that in many cities, last mile delivery fleets need to start their transition to electric vehicles right now.

July 14th, 2021, the European Union has also proposed an effective ban for new fossil-fuel cars from 2035.

Range prediction for efficient electric last mile solutions | COMPREDICT

Electric vehicles for first mile and last mile

A range of electric light trucks for last mile delivery are available on the market. Their typical battery range is somewhere around 150 – 200 miles (roughly 250 – 300 kilometers). The effective battery range of each vehicle depends very much on factors like

  • Equipment manufacturer and vehicle model
  • Battery health status
  • Driving style
  • Environmental conditions, and
  • Vehicle mass.

General vehicle data are fixed, and many other data or can be monitored via telematics solutions (driver behavior, outside temperature, …) but not the loaded mass. You cannot roll a small delivery truck over a scale at every stop, nor can you type this data manually into its onboard computer.

Constant changes in the loaded vehicle mass are inherent to last mile delivery services, and that makes range prediction of electric delivery trucks so difficult. Currently, electric vehicles and electric trucks do not measure their own instantaneous mass. The battery range displayed on the instrument panel is based on energy consumption history.

Under constant cost pressure, delivery companies are searching for means to optimize fleet operation, including the number of deliveries with one single charge. If the remaining battery range is not well predicted, there is a risk that a last mile delivery truck runs out of battery during operation. Unplanned breakdowns disorganize the fleet planning, lead to additional costs and customer dissatisfaction. Fleet professionals need reliable information on remaining battery range.

But how to know precisely, how many miles of range an electric truck has left before the next charging?

Precise range prediction with virtual sensors

COMPREDICT’s virtual sensors based on standard CAN bus signals are able to calculate instantaneous vehicle mass with a precision better than +/-5%, after 2-5 minutes city driving. Newly added vehicles are automatically parameterized in the software during the first half-hour of usage.

Read more about how our online vehicle mass measurement works.

With the loaded vehicle mass as input, reliable battery range prediction is possible for electric last mile delivery operations.

Benefits for fleet professionals

Our solution provides

  • Reliable, instantaneous vehicle mass at a precision of +/-5%.
  • Easy integration into existing telematics solution.
  • Automatic setup of new vehicles.
  • A battery range estimation that you can trust.

Get in touch with us to discuss about your Use case!


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